Here’s who’s leading in Wisconsin in the 2024 presidential election

Harris is up 50% to 49% among likely Marquette Law School voters poll released Wednesday (margin of error 4.4 points), including undecided voters leaning toward either candidate — showing that Trump has significantly narrowed the six-point lead Harris had over the school previous poll released on October 2.

Harris has a bigger lead of 51%-45% in one CNN/SSRS pollalso from Wednesday (margin of error 4.8 points).

Harris has a 50%-47% lead over Trump in a cooperative election study questionnaire released this week, part of a national survey of universities conducted by YouGov (1,542 respondents).

Trump has a slim lead of one point over an Emerson College poll of likely voters was released Thursday (margin of error 3.4), while the candidates are tied in two other surveys from last week: a Quinnipiac poll they both found that with 48% support and a Bloomberg/Morning Consult poll that shows Trump up 48.3%-48%.

Harris is three points higher, 50% to 47%, at a Washington Post-Schar School poll of likely voters published last week (margin of error 4.6), and a Wall Street Journal from early October poll showed they were tied at 48% among registered voters.

Most polls in Wisconsin — whose 10 electoral votes could be crucial — reflect a razor-thin race, with Harris leading by just 0.3 points in FiveThirtyEight’s polls. weighted average.

Voter turnout in Wisconsin could be high in November as the state faces several competitive elections for the U.S. House of Representatives and Republicans are locked in a fierce battle to maintain majority control of the state Assembly, says Anthony Chergosky , assistant professor of political science at the university. of Wisconsin-La Crosse told WUWM public radio in Milwaukee.

Declining support for Democratic Sen. Tammy Baldwin in the Wisconsin Senate race is also seen as a warning sign for Democrats, according to Cook Political Report. the state moves from slim Democrat to a toss-up last week after discovering that her lead over Republican Eric Hovde has shrunk from seven points to two since August, although a Marquette Law School poll also released last week still puts her a lead of seven points.

Biden won Wisconsin by less than one point in 2020, flipping the state after Trump defeated Hillary Clinton there in 2016; former President Barack Obama won the state by decisive margins in both 2008 and 2012.