Latest polls between Harris and Trump

Like presidential election cycle We’re a few inches closer to the end, polls continued to show he democrat Kamala Harris and Republican donald Embers They are locked in an incredibly tight race Early voting continues.

In the final polls released Friday morning, Harris had a narrow lead over Tipp in the running poll releases; The Emerson College Survey poll also showed the vice president with a slight advantage.

The latest figures come as each candidate travels to key battleground states in the US to make their final addresses to voters.

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Election 2024 live updates: Trump and Harris are traveling to 3 key swing states; latest polls

Harris leads New Hampshire but trails Biden

Harris is leading Embers up three percentage points among New Hampshire voters. a new survey It was released Friday by Emerson College Polling.

The poll of 915 voters showed Harris with a 50% to 47% lead among voters less than two weeks before the Nov. 5 election. When undecided voters are taken into account, Harris’ overall support in New Hampshire rises to 51%, according to the poll.

The poll showed Harris ahead with a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points. The survey was conducted from Monday to Wednesday.

new survey The survey showed that 34% of respondents see the economy as the most important issue in the upcoming presidential election. While 26 percent of those surveyed stated that housing prices were the most important problem, 10 percent stated that they were a threat to democracy.

Democrats dominated New Hampshire in the last presidential election, but Harris’ support among voters is declining from 2020, when President Joe Biden won the state with 52.8% of the vote.

In 2016, Hillary Clinton narrowly won the state over Trump with 46.5% of the vote to his 46.8% of the vote. According to RealClear Polling.

Emerson’s new poll found that a majority of New Hampshire voters (53%) have a positive view of Harris, while 47% have an unfavorable view of the vice president. It was revealed that Trump had a 47% positive opinion in the state, and 53% of those surveyed had a negative opinion about Trump.

“Harris’ margin among women is similar to Biden’s margin in 2020, but male voters moved toward Trump by about two points,” said Spencer Kimball, managing director of Emerson College Polling. “Additionally, Harris is underperforming Biden’s support in 2020, with a 13-point margin breaking away from Harris among independent voters, but breaking in favor of Biden by nearly twice that figure.”

Harris 50%, Trump 47% in Tipp’s ongoing poll

Democratic presidential candidate Harris is 3 percentage points ahead of Republican presidential candidate Trump. Tipp’s Monitoring Survey As of Friday morning.

The poll of 1,260 likely voters, conducted between Oct. 21 and Oct. 23, shows Harris leading between 50% and 47%, with a margin of error of 2.8%.

According to Tipp, both candidates have fluctuated within a three-point range in the last 10 days.

“This steady but small difference indicates a swing electorate where every percentage point counts,” Tipp said.

Bloomberg’s swing state poll shows candidates in a tie

The candidates are statistically tied among likely voters in seven swing states, one study found. Bloomberg News/Morning Advisory Take a poll on Wednesday night.

Harris leads Trump in all swing states, 49.1 percent to 48.5 percent, but with a one-percentage-point margin of error. The data was taken from a survey of 5,308 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin between Oct. 16 and Oct. 20.

“Harris outperforms her opponent in the poll on some personal qualities that could help her with disaffected Republicans,” Bloomberg reported. When asked which candidate was described as mentally healthy, honest and compassionate, undecided state voters likely chose Harris by a wide margin. ” This runs counter to findings that more voters see Trump as an experienced, patriotic and strong leader.

Things to consider when voting

The margin of error defines how accurately we can trust that survey results represent the entire population.

When a candidate’s difference is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie.” Pew Research Center.

Pew also has It found that the majority of pollsters had changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, when Trump’s performance was significantly underestimated.