Who will win the presidential election? What the Harris Trump Polls Show Now

Election day is normal eight days away and now that the presidential candidates are in the final stages, According to the polls and the odds, the tide is turning.

National polls over the past two months have consistently shown Vice President Kamala Harris in the lead, although the lead has continued to shrink week after week as former President Donald Trump has gained ground and even taken the lead in some of the crucial swing states. – which will likely determine the race.

Here’s what the polls and the odds say now – and how they’ve changed over the past two months – as we head into Election Day on Tuesday, November 5.

Who is now leading in the polls and is now favored by the odds?

ABC News Project 538 shows that in the national polls Harris has a 48.0% lead over Trump 46.6% – compared to Harris 48.2% last week over Trump 46.4%, compared to Harris 48.5% compared to Trump 46.1% two weeks ago, compared to Harris 48% compared to Trump 47.3% three weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.5% compared to Trump 45.8 % four weeks ago, compared to Harris 48.3% compared to Trump 45.6% five weeks agocompared to Harris 48.3% compared to Trump 45.3% six weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% compared to Trump 44.4% seven weeks ago, compared to Harris 47.1% compared to Trump with 43.9% eight weeks agoor compared to Harris 47.0% compared to Trump with 43.7% nine weeks ago.
270towing shows Harris has the narrowest lead in national polls at 0.7% over Trump – compared to 1.5% over Trump last week, compared to Harris 2.5% compared to Trump two weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.8% compared to Trump three weeks ago, compared to Harris 3.7% compared to Trump four weeks ago, compared to Harris compared to Trump with 3% five weeks agocompared to Harris 2.5% compared to Trump six weeks ago, compared to Harris 0.9% versus Trump seven weeks ago, compared to Harris 2.7% versus Trump eight weeks agoor compared to Harris 1.9% compared to Trump nine weeks ago.
realclearpolling shows that betting odds have changed in Trump’s favor at +0.1% spread across Harris – compared to Harris versus Trump last week at +0.8%, compared to Harris favorite at +1.7 two weeks ago, compared to a tie between Harris and Trump three weeks ago, compared to Harris favorite at +1.8 four weeks ago, compared to Harris favorite at +2.3 five weeks agocompared to Harris favorite +2.0 six weeks ago, compared to Harris +1.1 seven weeks ago, compared to Harris +1.8 eight weeks agoand compared to Harris +1.7 nine weeks ago.
PolymarktA The crypto trading platform shows growing expectations from the gambling public, favoring Trump 66.1% to Harris 33.9% – compared to last week’s Trump 64.1% to Harris 36.0%. compared to Trump 56.3% compared to Harris 43.1% two weeks ago, compared to Trump 52.8% compared to Harris 46.7% three weeks ago, compared to Harris favored over Trump four weeks ago with 2%, compared to Harris compared to Trump with 3% five weeks agocompared to Harris over Trump by 2% six weeks ago, compared to Harris over Trump by 1% seven weeks ago, compared to Trump over Harris by 4% eight weeks agoor compared to Harris over Trump by 1% nine weeks ago.

Polls and odds are constantly changing. These figures were shown as of Monday October 28, 2024 at 10:00 am

How accurate have the election odds or polls been in the past presidential elections?

The betting favorite has alone lost twice since 1866according to Conversation, a nonprofit news organization.

The track record in elections is more challenging because different pollsters who survey different target groups can often have higher margins of error.

According to Pew ResearchConfidence in opinion polls has suffered from the mistakes in the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections.

In both general elections, many polls underestimated the appeal of Republican Donald Trump.