According to the Marquette Poll, Kamala Harris and Donald Trump are in a dead heat in Wisconsin

Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are statistically in a dead heat in battleground Wisconsin, according to the latest Marquette University Law School poll released before Election Day.

Among likely voters, 50% support Harris and 49% support Trump. In the last Marquette survey conducted in late September, Harris said had a four-point lead between both groups, but still within the margin of error.

“The race has tightened a little bit,” said poll director Charles Franklin. “If I haven’t made it clear by now, let me say it again. It shouldn’t surprise anyone if Donald Trump wins, and it shouldn’t surprise anyone if Kamala Harris wins.”

The poll was conducted between October 16 and 24. 834 registered voters were surveyed, 753 of whom were likely to vote, based on their voting record since 2016. The margin of error was plus or minus 4.4 percentage points for both registered voters and likely voters.

The Marquette survey is considered among the best in the country. Other polls collected by RealClearPolling.com shows Trump has a slight lead in Wisconsin. In 2020, the elections were in Wisconsin decided by less than one percentage point. Franklin has noted that the Marquette poll was off by four points that year, and by six points in 2016.

A USA TODAY/Suffolk University survey of Wisconsin’s 500 likely voters polled last week found Trump at 48% and Harris at 47%, with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

Both campaigns visit Wisconsin in the final days of the presidential race. Harris will be joined by famous musicians like her convenes college voters at the University of Wisconsin-Madison on Wednesdaywhile Former Green Bay Packers quarterback Brett Favre will join Trump in Green Bay today.

More: Last-minute campaign: A tradition in Wisconsin presidential politics

Including third-party candidates like Jill Stein, Cornel West and Chase Oliver, Harris leads Trump by two points among likely voters. While support for independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. fell in the latest poll, he has risen again to 5% despite dropping out of the race.

“This 9% who say, ‘I’d like to vote for one of these third-party candidates,’ could so easily tilt this race one way or the other,” Franklin said.

This article originally appeared in the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel: Harris, Trump in a dead heat in Wisconsin, says new Marquette poll