Latest research on Harris vs. Trump

In the last days of the electionswhere states like Pennsylvania are still hotly contested Democrat Kamala Harris And Republican Donald Trump and could hold the key to an Electoral College victory.

Two recent polls show just how close the race is in Pennsylvania among seven swing states that could determine a victory in the race for the White House. A new CNN poll conducted by SSRS found that in Pennsylvania the race is the same, while there is a new one Poll from Quinnipiac University gave Trump a one-point lead over Harris.

Nationally, Trump and Harris are tied for 48% the latest TIPP Tracking Poll.

If the nail-biter of a race approaching its conclusion in five days, Trump And Harris planning to both are aimed at supporters Thursday in Nevadaanother key swing state.

Trump leads Harris in Pennsylvania in the new Quinnipiac poll

Trump leads Harris by one percentage point in a new Quinnipiac University poll released on Wednesday.

The poll of 2,186 likely voters showed Trump leading Harris 47%-46% with a margin of error of 2.1 percentage points. This took place from last Thursday to Monday.

The findings mark a shift from earlier this month, when another Quinnipiac poll showed Harris leading Trump 49%-46%. The gender gap has also widened since the last poll on October 9, with 57% of men supporting Trump and 55% of women supporting Harris.

Most respondents said Harris would do a better job preserving democracy and tackling abortion, while giving Trump an edge on dealing with the economy, immigration and the conflict in the Middle East.

A CNN poll shows a tie in Pennsylvania

New CNN polls conducted by SSRS found that Harris maintains a narrow lead in the battleground states of Michigan and Wisconsin, but found the race tied in Pennsylvania, which is the biggest election prize of the three.

Both Harris and Trump have 48% support in the latest poll, which surveyed 819 Pennsylvanians from Wednesday, October 23 through Monday. Another 726 people in Michigan and 736 in Wisconsin were surveyed.

“Harris is much closer to Trump on confidence in handling the economy and further ahead of him on handling democracy in both Michigan and Wisconsin, where it also has bigger advantages on key issues than in Pennsylvania, differences that help explain its stronger performance in the economy. states in the Midwest,” said the poll, which had a margin of error of 4.7 percentage points.

Trump and Harris tied in the latest TIPP poll

Trump and Harris are also tied nationally in the latest TIPP Tracking Poll released Thursday.

The latest survey of 1,265 likely voters showed that both candidates had 48% support among voters. The survey, conducted Monday through Wednesday, had a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.

“In these closing days, every step could shape the country’s future,” the poll said.

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Things to keep in mind when voting

The margin of error describes how accurately we can count on the research results being representative of the entire population.

When a candidate’s lead is “within” the margin of error, this is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the researchers. Pew Research Center.

Pew has that too found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, significantly underestimating Trump’s performance.

Eric Lagatta covers the latest and trending news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]