Five bets and trends to consider as Eagles are a -360 home favorite against Jaguars

Doug Pederson is a +280 underdog as his 2-6 Jacksonville Jag-wires visit the 5-2 Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday afternoon. It’s a 4:05 p.m. game that’s been moved out of prime time, largely because the Jags stink and Doug’s seat is nice and warm.

The Birds are riding a three-game winning streak and are coming off their best W of the season, a 37-point explosion in Cincinnati. That was good enough for the books to put them as a -360 favorite on the moneyline with a spread of -7.5. The Eagles have won by 20 points and 25 points over the last two weeks, which is reflected in the numbers you see NJ Betting And Sports Betting PA Apps.

When looking at the numerous props and options for this game, there are a few things to keep in mind:

Jalen Hurts is always a touchdown scorer

This was an automatic bet last year and will be an automatic bet this year. Jalen has five rushing touchdowns in his last two games, but the prop is still around -115 right now. While most of his rushing touchdowns come from the tush push, he came in last week with a beautiful zone read that turned the calendar back to 2022. If you think he’s a threat, repeat that and do more in the option- and QB draft play, then -115 is a good price.

the books still love Saquon

Saquon Barkley is listed around -185 as an all-time touchdown scorer. That seems funky considering Hurts stole his touchdowns. Barkley has just one rushing score in his last five games, but he’s racking up yardage, so when you look at his props, the 84.5-plus rushing yards at -114 are probably the better bet. The Jags defense isn’t bad, actually just above NFL average, so if you think Saquon is due for a regression you can get 80+ yards at -145 and 70+ yards at -210 if you put them in the same want to pack game parlay.

differences in the first quarter

The Eagles remain the only NFL team without a first-quarter score in 2024. They are -30 in first-quarter point differential.

If you think this is finally changing at home against a stinking team, look at the Eagles -1.5 in the first quarter at -108, or -205 right away to win the quarter. If you think the trend will continue, you can get the Jaguars in a three-way bet at +210, or +160, which removes a tie from the equation. If the Eagles win the coin toss, will they postpone it? Or do they grab the ball and try to make a quick start?

Maybe pulling the trigger on that is questionable, and if so, look at the 2nd, 3rd, and 4th quarters instead. The Eagles are:

• -3.5 in the 2nd at +104
• -1.5 in the 3rd at -110
• -2.5 in the 4th at -108

value on Smitty

DeVonta Smith is listed with an over/under of 55.5 receiving yards for Sunday. He’s only gone under that number once this season, when he recorded -2 ​​in an odd game in New York. He’s caught six or more passes in four of his six games this year, so if that happens, there’s a good chance he’ll miss.

explosive plays

The Eagles have the most 40+ yard plays in the NFL this season, and you think they’ll get at least 2-3 big wins in this game. The only problem is trying to figure out where it comes from. If you look at the “player longest reception” prop, Smith is above 21.5 at -120 and AJ Brown is above 28.5 at -110. If your favorite book contains longest rushing props, Saquon has led by more than 30 yards in four of his seven games this year. With the Eagles, it’s not a matter of if, but of when and who.