Harris leads Trump in Iowa by a three-point shift toward vice president, according to a shock poll

Vice President Kamala Harris leads former President Donald Trump by three points in the latest Des Moines Register-sponsored poll of Iowa, three days before the election.

The shock poll showed a seven-point shift from Trump to Harris from September, when he had a four-point lead over the vice president (47% to 43%) in the same poll.

“It’s hard for anyone to say they saw this coming,” pollster J. Ann Selzer, president of Selzer & Co., which conducted the poll, told the newspaper Saturday. “She has clearly established a leadership position.”

The poll was conducted between October 28 and 31 and Harris’ lead is within the margin of error of 3.4%.

Still, the poll appears to be an outlier. Another poll from Emerson College released Saturday, Trump showed a 10-point lead (53% to 43%) and he maintains a sizable lead in other polls.

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The Des Moines Register/Mediacom poll, which measures support in the Hawkeye State, is nationally recognized and the final results reflected the state’s results from the 2016 and 2020 elections, the Des Moines Register said.

The 2016 poll showed Trump with a seven-point lead over Hillary Clinton, and the 2020 poll showed him with the same lead over President Biden.

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Iowa, which is not considered a swing state, is geographically close to the Rust Belt swing states of Pennsylvania and Michigan, and it shares a border with Wisconsin.

The same June poll showed Trump with a significant 18-point lead over Biden before dropping out of the race in July after a shaky debate.

The Nov. 2 poll shows Harris increasing her support among women in a race with a historic gender gap as the vice president has made the issue of abortion central to her campaign, the newspaper said.

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The remaining 9% of respondents said they would vote for another candidate, were unsure who they would vote for or had no intention of voting. Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who dropped out of the race as an independent candidate and supported Trump, received 3% in the poll.