A second front of the week arrives tomorrow and a tropical threat to Florida is a realistic possibility

SARASOTA, Fla. (WWSB) -It is currently impossible to predict what local impacts will occur as a result of Tropical Depression Nineteen, which could soon develop into Tropical Storm Sara. However, we can consider a range of possibilities. Depending on the final process, the range of possibilities is wide. From sunny and windy skies to strong winds and heavy rain. Given this range, it is important to stay aware of the weather forecast as the weekend approaches. Remember, it remains entirely possible that a hurricane will enter the Gulf next week and likely head toward Florida. It could just be a wet midweek period next week. It’s just too early to know.

Forecast models indicate that Nineteen will initially spend significant time near the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua. The high mountains in these areas could significantly influence cyclone development, although the magnitude of this impact is uncertain. Some models also predict that the system may also pass through the Yucatán Peninsula before entering Gulf waters. Again, the effects of any land interaction on the strength or track of the storm are unclear, leading to a low reliability forecast in the long term.

Once in the Gulf, the cyclone will likely be guided by a trough of low pressure and strong upper level steering winds that will carry it north, northeast or east. However, it is uncertain where and when it will interact with these winds, making it difficult to determine the potential impacts on Florida.

Despite these uncertainties, models currently show strong agreement on sending a significant weather-producing cyclone towards the west coast of Florida by the middle of next week. So there is a realistic threat of impacts somewhere along the west coast of Florida or possibly in Cuba.

Our weather will look beautiful in the short term! Although humidity may rise slightly today, we will not see any rain. Temperatures will remain in the mid 80s – still warmer than average, but cooler than earlier in the week.

Tomorrow a stronger cold front will pass, which will shift the wind to the north and bring in much drier and slightly cooler air. Afternoon temperatures reach about 80 degrees, which is normal for this time of year, with low humidity and crisp, cool nights.

Don’t forget to check the weekend forecast for tropical updates.