Utah State vs. Boise State Prediction, Odds, Picks for College Football Week 6

Utah State continues its season in Week 6 by facing Boise State. It’s time to continue our college football odds series with a Utah State-Boise State prediction and pick.

The Week 6 matchup between Utah State (1-3) And No. 21 Boise State (3-1) at Albertsons Stadium promises to be an intriguing Mountain West opener for both teams. Boise State is among the heavy favorites, looking to build on its strong start to the season. The Broncos’ balanced offense, led by quarterback Taylen Green, will test Utah State’s struggling defense, which has allowed an average of 34.5 points per game. The Aggies’ offense, led by quarterback McCae Hillstead, faces a tough challenge against Boise State’s stout defense. With the Broncos’ home-field advantage and recent dominance in the series, Utah State will need to play its best game of the season to have a chance to pull off an upset.

Here are the college football odds, courtesy of FanDuel.

College football odds: Utah State-Boise State odds

Utah State: +26.5 (-105)

Financial line: +1400

Boise State: -26.5 (-115)

Money line: -4000

Over: 66.5 (-110)

Minus: 66.5 (-110)

How to watch Utah State vs. Boise State

Time: 7:00 p.m. ET/4:00 p.m. PT

TV: FS2

Stream: fuboTV (free trial)

Why Utah State Could Cover the Spread/Win

While Boise State enters this Week 6 matchup as a heavy favorite, several factors could lead to a surprising upset of Utah State on the road.

Utah State’s offense has shown flashes of potential, particularly in the passing game. Quarterback McCae Hillstead has improved each week and could exploit a Boise State secondary that has shown vulnerability, ranking 109th nationally in pass defense. If Hillstead can connect on a few big plays early on, it could boost the Aggies’ confidence and momentum.

Utah State’s rushing attack, led by Davon Booth, has the potential to keep Boise State’s defense honest. Establishing a ground game could open up play opportunities and help control the clock, limiting the Broncos’ offensive possessions.

Defensively, the Aggies were opportunistic, forcing turnovers in key moments. If they can create a few takeaways against Boise State quarterback Taylen Green, it could swing the game in their favor.

The element of surprise could also work in Utah State’s favor. As significant underdogs, they have nothing to lose and everything to gain. This mindset often leads to aggressive play decisions and risk-taking that can surprise favored teams.

Additionally, Boise State could expect tougher conference matchups, potentially overlooking Utah State. If the Aggies can capitalize on the Broncos’ complacency, they could find themselves in a position to pull off an upset.

Even though the odds are stacked against them, Utah State has the potential to shock the college football world with a road win over Boise State if they can execute their game plan perfectly and capitalize on the Bronco’s mistakes .

Why Boise State could cover the spread/win

Heading into Week 6, Boise State is poised for a dominant win against Utah State at Albertsons Stadium. The No. 21 ranked Broncos have several key advantages that should propel them to a convincing victory on their home field.

Boise State’s offense, led by quarterback Taylen Green, was firing on all cylinders, averaging an impressive 47.8 points per game, ranking 6th nationally. Their balanced offense, which generates 522.3 yards per game (7th in FBS), will likely overwhelm Utah State’s struggling defense, which allows 34.5 points per game.

The Broncos’ ground game, averaging 302.5 yards per game, should succeed against an Aggies defense that has shown vulnerability against the run. This dominance on the court will open up play opportunities for Green to exploit.

Defensively, while Boise State has allowed a few yards through the air, its run defense has been solid, giving up just 121 yards on the ground per game. That strength fits well with Utah State’s run-heavy offensive approach.

The home field advantage at Albertsons Stadium, where the Broncos have historically dominated, cannot be overstated. The electric atmosphere will likely rattle the visiting Aggies, especially in crucial moments.

With its powerful offense, strong run defense and significant home-field advantage, Boise State is well-positioned to continue its winning streak against Utah State and earn a convincing victory in this Mountain West opener.

Utah State vs. Boise State Final Prediction and Selection

Boise State is a 26.5-point favorite, boasting a powerful offense averaging 47.8 points per game. Utah State’s defense struggled, allowing 34.5 points per game. Although the Aggies’ offense has shown flashes, particularly in the passing game, they will face a tough challenge against the Broncos’ stout run defense. Boise State’s home field advantage and recent dominance in the series add to its advantage. Despite the wide spread, Boise State’s offensive firepower should allow them to cover. The Broncos’ balanced attack will likely overwhelm Utah State’s defense. Prediction: Boise State 48, Utah State 17.

Utah State vs. Boise State Final Prediction and Selection: Boise State -26.5 (-102), Under 66.5 (-110)