close
close
msilood

Here’s Who’s Leading the 2024 Trump-Harris Presidential Race in Nevada

Matte Jr
Here’s Who’s Leading the 2024 Trump-Harris Presidential Race in Nevada

Top line

Vice President Kamala Harris has a slim lead over former President Donald Trump in the crucial swing state of Nevada, where eroding support among Latino voters threatens to hurt her chances of winning the state in November.

Key facts

Harris and Trump are tied at 48% in a Washington Post-Schar School poll of likely voters released Monday (4.8 margin of error).

Harris has a 0.3-point lead in Nevada, according to the Five Thirty Eight polling average, while an Emerson poll released last week found her leading by one point, 48% to 47%, after pollsters. two were tied at 48% in September, and a Wall Street Journal poll shows Trump with an unusually large five-point lead.

Nevada — which is the smallest swing state, with just six electoral votes — has voted for Democratic presidential candidates in every election since 2008, and President Joe Biden beat Trump by 2.4 points in 2020.

Support for Harris among Latino voters will be crucial to her success in both Arizona and Nevada, where Hispanics and Latinos make up about 30% of the population and polls show she has lost support among key demographic groups.

Biden outperformed Latino voters in Nevada 61% to 35% in 2020, according to CNN exit polls, while Harris leads Trump 56% to 40% in Nevada, according to an October USA Today poll /Suffolk University with Latino voters.

Harris is particularly struggling with Latino men, according to the poll that found that 53% of Latino male voters ages 18 to 34 in Nevada support Trump and 40% support Harris, while 53% of Latino men ages 35 to 49 year olds in the state support Trump and 39% support Harris.

Immigration and inflation top the list of concerns for Latino voters in Nevada, according to the USA Today/Suffolk poll, which found that 37% said inflation was their top concern and 17% said immigration.

Large number

56%. This is the percentage of Latino voters who identified with the Democratic Party in 2016, compared to 49% who did so in 2024, according to a September NBC News/Telemundo/CNBC poll.

Tangent

Nevada is one of three swing states, in addition to Wisconsin and Michigan, where Harris has a lead over Trump, according to FiveThirtyEight averages. Trump leads by narrow margins in Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona. Harris has a slim lead in national polls.

Main fund

The Harris campaign is making a last-minute appeal to Hispanic men in Arizona, Pennsylvania and Nevada with a “Hombres con Harris” tour featuring members of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, including Rep. Ruben Gallego, D-Ariz., who is running against Trump ally Kari Lake for Senate in Arizona. The tour will include stops at Latino-owned small businesses, sports bars, restaurants, labor unions and other community venues frequented by Latino men, his campaign said.

Further reading

Trump-Harris Wisconsin 2024 Polls: Latest Polls Show Trump With Slight Lead (Forbes)

2024 Election, Swing State Polls: Trump Maintains Lead in Arizona While Harris Maintains Narrow Lead in Pennsylvania (Update) (Forbes)

Trump vs. Harris 2024 Polls: Harris and Trump Virtually Tied in Latest Polls as Race Tightens (Forbes)

Trump-Harris Pennsylvania 2024 Polls: Harris Leads in Crucial Swing State in Latest Poll (Forbes)

Trump-Harris Michigan 2024 Polls: Harris Leads in Latest Poll (Forbes)

Trump-Harris Georgia 2024 Polls: Harris Maintains Surprising 1-Point Lead in New Poll (Forbes)

Trump-Harris North Carolina 2024 Polls: Trump Overtakes Harris’ Lead (Forbes)

Related Posts