CNN Data Reporter Points to Historical Polls That Could Doom Trump

CNN‘s senior political data reporter Harry Enten on Tuesday explored the possibility that pollsters are underestimating the Republican candidate Donald Trump‘s chances for 2024, just like in 2016 and 2020.

It’s highly unlikely, Enten told News Central host John Berman.

“I went back and checked whether or not a party in the key battleground states had topped the polls three times in a row,” Enten said. ‘It never happened. It never happened. Zero times. Zero times since 1972.”

“So if the polls start to underestimate Donald Trump again, that would be historically unprecedented,” he continued.

Some people argue that the former president is “historically unprecedented,” Enten acknowledged, adding that pollsters typically realize they are “not taking into account part of the electorate” and adjust their predictions.

“I think this helps explain why we have never seen the same party being underestimated in presidential elections three times in a row, at least in the last 52 years,” Enten theorized.

View Enten’s analysis here: