Nevada analyst says Kamala Harris wins the Swing State in final prediction

Nevada political analyst and columnist Jon Ralston predicts that vice president Kamala Harris will narrowly win the swing state on Tuesday thanks to independent voters.

In a blog post on Monday, Ralston, the editor of The Nevada Independent who is known for his predictions, said he expects Harris to defeat the former president Donald Trump 48.5 percent to 48.2 percent, with 3.3 percent of the votes going to other candidates.

Ralston wrote in his prediction that the “key to this election has always been which side non-major party voters break as they have become the plurality in the state.”

“They will make up about 30 percent of the electorate and if they move enough toward Harris, she will win Nevada,” Ralston wrote, adding, “I think so.”

According to 538, as of Monday, Nevada is considered a tie between Harris and Trump, with the former president merely leading 0.3 points average in statewide polls.

This is a developing story that will be updated as information becomes available.