Shock poll shows Trump nearly 20 points ahead in Iowa

Former President Donald Trump has an 18-point lead over President Joe Biden in Iowa, according to a poll released Monday.

Trump leads Biden 50 percent to 32 percent, according to a joint investigation speak Register of Monks and Mediacom Iowa, which surveyed more than 800 likely voters just weeks after the former president was convicted of 34 counts of falsifying business records by a New York grand jury.

Trump won Iowa by 8 points in 2020 and 10 points in 2016.

Political analysts such as Frank Luntz interpreted Monday’s poll as evidence that Biden’s electoral candidacy is in dire straits. The poll “is bad news for Biden in more competitive Midwestern states, like Wisconsin and Michigan,” Luntz said.

The survey, with a margin of error of 3.5 percent, also shows Biden trailing in favorability ratings, with 66 percent of Iowa voters surveyed finding Biden unfavorable, compared to just 47 percent. hundred for Trump. The poll also shows Trump with a double-digit lead among unaffiliated voters, with 40 percent of independents indicating support for Trump compared to 29 percent for Biden.

The investigation, conducted between June 9 and 14, comes just over two weeks after the former president was convicted by a Manhattan jury of falsifying business records to hide secret payments to the adult film actress Stormy Daniels during the 2016 election, a condemnation Trump is poised to make. appeal. Trump, who is expected to accept the Republican nomination for president at the party’s convention in Milwaukee next month, will be sentenced on July 11, just four days before the convention begins.

Trump says he will announce his running mate at the convention.