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Shocking new poll shows shocking results of Trump’s performance against several Biden surrogates after disastrous debate performance



The majority of voters who followed the first presidential debate of 2024 believed that Republican candidate Donald Trump could beat several potential Democratic candidates, Biden, if he were replaced on the ticket.

This claim comes from a series of polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight, a company that uses statistical analysis to show the lay of the land in various elections.

A group of polls conducted by Data for Progress showed Trump beating a host of high-profile “surrogates” for Biden, including California Gov. Gavin Newsom and Vice President Kamala Harris.

In the poll, Trump led Newsom 47 percent to 44 and beat Harris 48 percent to 45.

Even grimmer news for Democrats was the poll’s prediction that Trump would also beat Biden, as the presidential campaign continues to rev up after Thursday’s disastrous debate.

The majority of voters who watched the first presidential debate believed that Republican candidate Donald Trump could beat several candidates besides Biden if he were replaced.
The claim comes from a series of polls compiled by FiveThirtyEight, a company that uses statistics to show how things are going in various elections. The analysis looked at polls conducted following Biden’s debate on Thursday, as Democrats consider replacing him.

In addition to Newsom and Harris, the Data for Progress study, using responses from more than 1,000 people, had Trump beating Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg 47 to 44 if the election were held today.

Illinois Governor JB Pritzker would also have lost a hypothetical election to Trump, garnering just 43 percent of the vote to the Republican candidate’s 46 percent.

Other candidates, such as Michigan Gov. Gretchen Whitmer and New Jersey Sen. Cory Booker, fared slightly better — both got 44 percent to Trump’s 46 — in the same sample used by Data for Progress.

Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar and Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro also lost to Trump by 3 percent margins.

All showed Trump defeating a host of “surrogates,” among them California’s Gavin Newsom.
White House candidate Kamala Harris also fell to the former president, with a three percent gap in a poll of 1,011 likely voters.


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The latter two have previously been considered potential Democratic presidential candidates, but both have said they are committed to Biden.

The latest poll conducted Friday by Data for Progress found Trump beating Biden by a comfortable three percent, while a poll of 841 registered voters sponsored by the New York Post gave Biden trailing by seven percent.

The results come amid uncertainty over the Democratic Party’s top choice, as Biden’s shaky debate performance continues to be questioned.

A replacement would be possible but unlikely, experts say, because the process would be complicated and would open the door to losing a united front before the candidates’ scheduled vote at their convention in August.

The Democratic National Committee’s official procedures for the convention, adopted in 2022, give the committee the authority to choose a new nominee if one of the ticket’s members dies or withdraws.

Biden also has the power to withdraw himself from the race – by releasing any pledged delegates he has accrued.

That’s 3,894 out of 3,937 so far, according to an Associated Press count.

In the event of such a choice, these delegates would be free to vote for the one of their choice – with the half dozen candidates above standing as replacements.

Governor Pritzker speaks at an event in Chicago Tuesday after signing a bill establishing the Illinois Department of Early Childhood Education
Governor Shapiro delivers his fiscal year 2024-25 budget speech during a joint session of the House and Senate in the Rotunda of the State Capitol last February.
White House Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg also lost 3% to Trump, just weeks before November.
Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer
Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey
These results come amid uncertainty over the Democratic Party’s top pick, as Biden’s faltering performance in the debate continues to be called into question.

This measure would lead to an open convention, which is unprecedented in the current state of politics.

If Biden chooses to step down, he would also like to approve a planned successor.

The obvious choice would be Vice President Harris, who has reportedly been called a “work in progress” by his president.

A report earlier this year further claimed that Harris was still struggling to penetrate what she called the Biden campaign’s “bubble” of thinking — as Michigan’s Whitmer and Newsom have also frequently mentioned.

In the case of an open convention, the candidate with majority support of party delegates would receive the endorsement, even if Biden did not consider him his successor.

As of this writing, the president has not announced his intention to withdraw from the race.

Asked about such a prospect Friday while campaigning in North Carolina, he said: “I know I’m not a young man, I don’t walk as easily as I used to, I don’t talk as easily as I used to, I don’t debate as well as I used to.

“But I know what I know,” he continued, before receiving a round of applause. “I know how to tell the truth. I know good from bad. I know how to do this job. I know how to get things done.

“I know, like many Americans, that when you get knocked down, you get back up,” he concluded.