Whitney Fox Poll on Message Testing Shows Narrow Path to Victory in Red CD 13

A poll commissioned by the Democrat Whitney Fox The campaign for Florida’s 13th Congressional District shows her with a razor-thin path to victory in a district that votes R+8 and which the Cook Political Report lists as R+6.

When asked whether they would vote for a Democrat or Republican in a generic general election, half of respondents say they would vote for the Republican candidate, while only 43 percent say they would vote for a Democrat. Asked to choose between Fox and incumbent Republican U.S. Rep. Anna Paulina LunaLuna’s support increases to 51% and Fox’s support increases 3 percentage points, to 46%.

The survey, conducted by GQR information and actionsthen offers an “informed vote” question, which is asked after giving respondents additional information about each candidate.

The Fox campaign poll memo does not provide the exact language delivered to respondents, but it summarizes that they were briefed on Luna’s “extreme positions, such as support for a national ban on abortion with no exceptions for rape, incest or the life of the mother, deletion from social networks”. Safety and Health Care – remove the $35 cap on insulin and prevent Medicare from negotiating lower costs for prescription drugs.

With this in mind, Fox’s support in the poll rises to 49%, while Luna’s support drops to just 47%.

The investigative memo notes that “Luna’s position on abortion is clearly out of step with the district’s and constitutes its greatest vulnerability,” adding that “the reproductive rights ballot measure and its potential impact on participation create an opportunity for Fox to win.”

Although the poll poses leading questions to voters that could skew results, it serves as an effective indicator of how well particular messages resonate with a precinct’s electorate.

“Our poll results clearly show that Florida’s 13th Congressional District is in play in November and is the most swinging House seat in Florida. Whitney Fox has a clear path to victory against Anna Paulina Luna once voters learn of Luna’s self-serving political games and extreme positions on abortion, Social Security and Medicare, while Floridians are struggling with record costs,” the Fox campaign manager said. James Corti said.

“Let’s not forget that Anna Paulina Luna underperformed other Republicans by six percentage points in 2022, when Democratic turnout was at its lowest in a decade. With Florida’s abortion amendment and Pinellas County a hot spot for inflation, Fox is poised to defeat Anna Paulina Luna and end his attacks on democracy, women and the elderly .

Fox has fought hard for reproductive rights and frequently criticizes Luna for her anti-abortion stances.

Luna dismissed any potential Democratic challenger in the race as ‘not serious’ a statement to the Washington Examiner about the survey. She added that the candidates “don’t even understand the basics of legislation.”

Fox’s poll makes no mention of other Democrats running and focuses only on messages related to the general election. But she has a competitive Primary to go before turning her sites on Luna.

One of his main adversaries, Liz Dahanalso recently conducted an internal email poll, but it focused more on the primary than the general election.

This poll showed none of the Democratic candidates with significant identification among voters, with Fox being the longest running candidate with only 30% awareness.

That poll memo did not provide full data on candidate names or support levels, but it noted that Dahan, after voters received positive statements about him, went from just 5 percent support in a basic survey question at 24%. Fox went from 16% to 19%, and Sabrina Bousbar went from 8% to 9%. The survey included questions about the candidate Mark Weinkrantzbut the voting note did not highlight the results.

The memo also notes that once voters were given biographical information, the share of undecided voters fell to just 39 percent. He noted that Fox was seen as the favorite, but questioned that notion.

“While some have been tempted to end this race, the one thing the data is crystal clear about is that it hasn’t even started,” the memo said.

Fox is the former director of communications for the Pinellas Suncoast Transit Authority and leads both with a fundraising advantage and the lion’s share of local and national revenues settlement supportlike the American representatives. Kathy Castor, Lois Frankel And Debbie Wasserman Schultz.

But Dahan, Bousbar and Weinkrantz all topped six figures in their fundraising efforts, with Weinkrantz largely self-funding his campaign. And all have impressive resumes to present themselves on.

Dahan has served as an advisor to high-ranking Democrats, including former U.S. Sen. Tom Daschle and former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright. Bousbar worked in the Joe Biden administration at the Ministry of Health and Social Services. Weinkrantz is a military veteran and a highly regarded local community leader and philanthropist.

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